The intake gap
Dairy is the dominant calcium source in most diets, so cutting it out has a predictable effect. The NIH fact sheet, public domain, lists exactly who is at risk.
Primary source 01 / 06
People with lactose intolerance, those with an allergy to milk, and those who avoid eating dairy products (including vegans) have a higher risk of inadequate calcium intakes because dairy products are rich sources of calcium
Plant calcium exists, but it is not always well absorbed, which the same sheet spells out.
Primary source 02 / 06
The absorption of calcium varies depending on the type of food; absorption from dairy products and fortified foods is about 30%, while absorption from certain plants may be much lower due to the presence of compounds that form indigestible salts with calcium.
What the fracture data shows
This is not just a nutrient-on-paper question. The EPIC-Oxford study followed tens of thousands of people in the UK and recorded actual fractures. The finding is not the flattering one.
Primary source 03 / 06
Non-meat eaters, especially vegans, had higher risks of either total or some site-specific fractures, particularly hip fractures.
In numbers the study reports: compared with meat eaters, vegans had a hip-fracture hazard ratio of 2.31, which worked out to 14.9 more hip-fracture cases per 1000 people over 10 years. The authors point to calcium and protein as part of the reason.
Primary source 04 / 06
In this study and previous studies, vegans had substantially lower intakes of calcium than other diet groups since they do not consume dairy, a major source of dietary calcium
And the risk moved when they accounted for calcium, which is the actionable part.
Primary source 05 / 06
The associations were attenuated further but remained significant in vegans with additional adjustment for dietary calcium
The authors are careful not to oversell an observational result.
Primary source 06 / 06
This is the first prospective study of diet group with both total and multiple specific fracture sites in vegetarians and vegans, and the findings suggest that bone health in vegans requires further research.
The takeaway is not scary, it is specific. Hit your calcium target from fortified plant milks, tofu set with calcium, and low-oxalate greens, and get enough protein. The finding that vegans fracture more is real. So is the finding that calcium narrows the gap.

